Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.065056 0.071925 0.079437 0.088301 0.098527 0.110011 0.123972
2024-10-20 0.054385 0.063652 0.074601 0.088649 0.106430 0.128513 0.158541
2024-10-27 0.046704 0.057054 0.070025 0.087811 0.112117 0.145035 0.194588
2024-11-03 0.041897 0.053011 0.067640 0.088874 0.119928 0.165475 0.241107
2024-11-10 0.038224 0.049791 0.065656 0.089839 0.127398 0.186659 0.294771
2024-11-17 0.034931 0.046596 0.063147 0.089440 0.132455 0.204896 0.349146
2024-11-24 0.032606 0.044448 0.061788 0.090423 0.139669 0.228135 0.420944
2024-12-01 0.030662 0.042616 0.060620 0.091426 0.146944 0.253069 0.506295
2024-12-08 0.028941 0.040924 0.059436 0.092155 0.153745 0.278690 0.605011
2024-12-15 0.027274 0.039150 0.057905 0.092022 0.158817 0.301984 0.709909
2024-12-22 0.025614 0.037236 0.055942 0.090822 0.161510 0.320702 0.812683
2024-12-29 0.024665 0.036378 0.055642 0.092609 0.170633 0.357144 0.995544
2025-01-05 0.023199 0.034585 0.053616 0.090938 0.172208 0.375807 1.133608
2025-01-12 0.022263 0.033607 0.052928 0.091805 0.179695 0.412937 1.379552
2025-01-19 0.021189 0.032315 0.051564 0.091139 0.183499 0.441203 1.619015
2025-01-26 0.020467 0.031576 0.051136 0.092346 0.192124 0.487541 2.012406
2025-02-02 0.019784 0.030853 0.050669 0.093400 0.200612 0.537310 2.512162
2025-02-09 0.018976 0.029855 0.049597 0.092997 0.205189 0.575844 3.017315
2025-02-16 0.018400 0.029233 0.049193 0.094038 0.214002 0.634611 3.834850
2025-02-23 0.017865 0.028652 0.048819 0.095099 0.223155 0.700035 4.941909
2025-03-02 0.017336 0.028047 0.048346 0.095868 0.231669 0.768158 6.391786
2025-03-09 0.016752 0.027304 0.047538 0.095728 0.237386 0.827485 8.072852
2025-03-16 0.016099 0.026397 0.046329 0.094464 0.239266 0.869753 9.781814